Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000152 0.000169 0.000186 0.000206 0.000229 0.000253 0.000282
2025-05-18 0.000121 0.000144 0.000170 0.000204 0.000245 0.000294 0.000358
2025-05-25 0.000102 0.000128 0.000160 0.000202 0.000259 0.000331 0.000431
2025-06-01 0.000088 0.000115 0.000150 0.000200 0.000268 0.000361 0.000499
2025-06-08 0.000076 0.000103 0.000140 0.000193 0.000270 0.000380 0.000551
2025-06-15 0.000070 0.000098 0.000136 0.000195 0.000284 0.000417 0.000634
2025-06-22 0.000065 0.000094 0.000135 0.000199 0.000301 0.000458 0.000730
2025-06-29 0.000059 0.000087 0.000128 0.000195 0.000304 0.000479 0.000794
2025-07-06 0.000053 0.000079 0.000120 0.000187 0.000299 0.000486 0.000834
2025-07-13 0.000050 0.000076 0.000117 0.000187 0.000309 0.000519 0.000925
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000074 0.000116 0.000190 0.000323 0.000559 0.001034
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000070 0.000112 0.000188 0.000327 0.000583 0.001117
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000067 0.000110 0.000189 0.000339 0.000623 0.001241
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000064 0.000107 0.000188 0.000346 0.000655 0.001356
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000061 0.000104 0.000187 0.000353 0.000689 0.001480
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000058 0.000100 0.000185 0.000357 0.000718 0.001598
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000054 0.000095 0.000178 0.000353 0.000727 0.001671
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000052 0.000094 0.000180 0.000366 0.000777 0.001854
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000051 0.000094 0.000184 0.000383 0.000838 0.002078
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000049 0.000090 0.000180 0.000383 0.000859 0.002199
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000046 0.000085 0.000173 0.000373 0.000855 0.002251
2025-10-05 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000173 0.000383 0.000901 0.002455
2025-10-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000084 0.000176 0.000398 0.000962 0.002716